The Key To Trading: Knowing That You Dont Know
Let's get to the meat of trading successfully right away. The truth is, there are no easy paths, no quick successes to trading. There are dozens of...
Let’s get to the meat of trading successfully right away.
The truth is, there are no easy paths, no quick successes to trading. There are dozens of gurus selling snake oil trading systems on the net. There is even an entire website that sells nothing but cheap $50-200 strategies. If these were such good strategies, why would someone sell them for $50?
You see, trading successfully is more than just opening a brokerage account, funding it with $5,000, and then “trading” live. The key to being a consistent trader is understandting that you know you don’t know. All ego aside, once you realize you know you don’t know, you are on the path to becoming a consistent trader.
In order to trade successfully, there are two important things you need to know. First, you need to know how the market trades. What is the Market’s underlying behavior? What time of day is best for trading? Who trades at that time? What kind of profit target you can expect? What kind of stop loss you need to trade with?
The second concept you need to know, and probably more important than the first, you need to know yourself. You need to understand your own underlying characteristics when you are trading. See, trading is a mental game. Everyone who plays this game must learn to overcome their own personal “psychology”, their own fears and their own greed.
Overcoming the first concept is probably easier than overcoming the second. Purchasing some fundamental education on Market behavior, hard work, and trading live will help you control your first obstacle. Overcoming the second thing, well that’s a different story. But coming to grips with the fact that you know you don’t know, that kind of puts you on the faster track to controling your own psychology.
Just why is knowing that you don’t know important? Think about this. Someone who goes to concerts is not a piano player. He would be ill advised to charge for a concert. The same thing applies to a trader. Funding an account doesn’t make you a trader.
One of the important differences between novice traders and professionals is that the professional knows he does not know. Trading with his own money has taught him well that there are things about trading even professionals can never know, (probably because they are just not knowable). The pro will know that he has to do research all the time, always learning more about the Market’s characteristics, etc.
At best, it is difficult to predict Market trends. If you watch any of the business news channels, you will see so many pundits explaining what they know, explaining where the Market is going. Of course, these are the same gurus who said that the Market crash in 2008 could never happen. They were buying when the Market was just beginning to tank, and they continued to buy in disbelief. Trading is not a business of predictions. Trading is the business of high probabilities, based upon real experience, research, and human reaction. The only trading secret that you can trust is knowing that you don’t know what the Market will do. That makes you a better trader because chances are, you will be more cautious. You will have designed a conservative emergency plan just in case the Market turns against your trade. The one thing you can know for sure is that some day, you will have trades that go against you.
Knowing you don’t know is not detrimental to your success as a trader, it’s quite helpful.
Barbara Cohen has been a professional day trader for over 10 years. She has trained hundreds of students in trading futures with Shadowtraders trading systems. As the CIO, Barbara moderates Shadowtraders daily online trading chat room. Before you purchase any trading education, make sure you attend Shadowtraders , and