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Mastering Harami Candlestick Pattern Can Be Highly Profitable!

February 27th, 2010 Ahmad Hassam No comments

There are simple as well as complex candlestick patterns. There are single stick, two stick as well as three stick candlestick patterns. Harami is a two stick candlestick pattern. Two stick patterns take two days to form on daily charts. A Harami is formed whent the first day candle is longer than the second day candle. Harami can be bullish as well as bearish!

A bullish Harami is formed in a downtrend when the first day candle is very bearish. But on the second day, the bulls come into play and beat the bears out of the market by taking the prices higher. However, the bulls are not completely successful and the second day is still lower than the first day open and the first day high is not crossed. But this is an important signal that bulls are now active and trying to take hold of the market. This means that the downtrend will be soon over and an uptrend is about to start.

The open is higher than the close of the last day on the signal day. However, the bulls close the day higher than the open.On the second day when the Harami is formed, the bears are still slightly ahead of the bulls at the start of trading.

Bulls and bears are always fighting with each other for the control of the market. When a bullish Harami is formed what this means is that the bulls are still cautious about their success and fear that the bears might return to take the prices lower again. However, when this does not happen, it gives confidence to the bulls encouraging more buying in the market and the reversal of the trend.

What this means is that you need to confirm it with the price action on the following day. Now, like most of the candlestick patterns, a Harami can fail. Always place the stop loss first when you trade. When you spot a Harami, place the stop loss near the open of the second day.

Harami pattern has got few variations. On of them is the Bullish Harami Cross Pattern. The first day in case of a Bullish Harami Cross is a bearish candle. The signal day or the second day is a Bullish Doji with an open higher than the close of the first day and the close lower than the open of the first day. Now,a Bullish Harami Cross is not formed very frequently. But when it does form, it means an sudden trend reversal. So you should act immediatetly when you spot it.

The bearish Harami Pattern is the other way around. The first day candle is bullish but the second day candle is bearish with the open lower than the close of the first day and the close higher than the open of the first day. But this means is that bears have taken over the market and soon a new downtrend is going to develop.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Get these Forex Scalping Cheatsheets FREE! Master these Candlestick Patterns with this FREE 82 page PDF Candlestick Guide!

Inverted Hammer Candlestick Pattern Can Make You Rich!

February 26th, 2010 Ahmad Hassam No comments

There are simple as well as complex candlestick patterns that are used by traders to identify trend reversal as well as trend continuation. Candlestick charting has become one of the most important tool in the trading arsenal of any trader. Almost all the trading platforms now have candlestick charts in their menu. One candlestick pattern does not occur frequently but when it does it means that the trend will reverse itself soon is the Inverted Hammer.

An Inverted Hammer is a quite rare pattern as the price action needed to produce it does not takes place frequently. But if it does, it is an important signal that you shouldn’t ignore. Now an inverted hammer can get formed in a downtrend as well as an uptrend. In a downtrend, the first day is a bearish candle signalling that the bears are still in control of the market.

An inverted hammer has a very small body at the bottom with a long wick at the top. As the high is way above the body, most of the trading took place near the small area close to the low. This low serves as the support for the upcoming days.

Now, if you find the open of the next day higher than the low of the previous day, the inverted hammer pattern formed last day was a true pattern. Before trading on an inverted hammer signal, you need for the confirmation on the following day. You can now trade this inverted hammer pattern by placing a stop close to the open of the day.

Now, let’s talk about an uptrend. Identifying an Inverted Hammer in an uptrend is almost similar to a downtrend. When an inverted hammer is formed in an uptrend, it means that the uptrend is about to reverse itself into a downtrend. On the first day, you will find the usual bullish candle signalling that the bulls are in control of the market. This is followed by a gap opening and more buying.

But soon the bears start to take control of the market and push the prices down. The close of the day is equal to or close to the low of the day. When you idenfity a bearish inverted hammer pattern, you can safely go short by putting a stop near the open of the signal day or the day when inverted hammer was formed.

Once, you have placed the stop, you have limited your risk. In case, the market moves in the direction as anticipated, you make a nice profit. Placing a stop loss is very important in trading risk management. If the subsequent price movements do not confirm the inverted hammer, the stop loss comes into action and takes you out of the market at an acceptable loss. If you are an aggressive trader, you can place the stop loss close to the high of the inverted hammer.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master these Candlestick Patterns! Read this shocking 40 page FRWC Brutal Truth FREE Report on trading robots and how to trade with them!

ETF Options Trading Advantages

February 26th, 2010 Ahmad Hassam No comments

You must have traded ETFs. No, then let me first introduce you to ETFs. ETF is the short acronym for Exchange Traded Funds. ETF are a basket of stocks or other assets that have been designed to closely track a stock index, a market index, sector index or any other index. Now trading stock indexes is what many trader do. You can trade stock indexes with options. However, trading ETF Options can be a more profitable venture for you!

The most important difference is that Index Options are cash settled on expiry while the ETF Options are settled with the underlying instruments that is shares of that ETF. Since with an ETF Options, you can also own the underlying security, you can use various combination strategies.

Stocks have dividends that are paid out periodically to the stock holders. Dividends are an important part of the return that a stock gives over a certain period of time. Now when you are trading index options or ETF options both of them get affected by the dividend payments on the underlying stocks. You need to take this fact into account when calculating the values of puts and calls with an Options Calculator otherwise your investment returns may not be what you have been anticipating.

Now, ETF Options are more flexible than the Index Options as you can use the underlying ETF as well in your options strategies. If you have already traded stock options, ETF options should not be difficult for you. You can hedge your ETF position with an option on the ETF.

Now when trading ETF Options, you can use the famous Protective Put Strategy by combining long ETF with a long put. This way you can hedge against the downside risk with a small increased cost to the ETF. A Protective Put will limit the downside risk to the put strike price.

Similarly, you can use a Covered Call on ETF. A Covered Call is formed by taking combining long ETF with a short call on that ETF. The short call will give you some income in the shape of a premium and reduce the cost of the position. This will also slightly reduce the risk of the position. But on the other hand, a covered call will limit the upside profit potential. Your max profit now will only be limited to the call strike price.

Now, you can also use a Collared Position as well by combining a long ETF with a long put and a short call. This combination limits the downside risk to the put strike price with a slight increase in the cost of the ETF. This net increase in cost by taking a long put is offset with the premium brought in by the short call. On the other hand, the limited but high risk is turned into limited risk only.

Whatever options strategies you use with the ETF, you should first paper trade those strategies and instruments. This is an inexpensive way of test these strategies and can be a good lesson in unexpected risk of either of these securities.

An important fact that you need to know is that not all ETFs have options written on them. This should not surprise you as there are many stocks that don’t have options written on them. Another important fact that you should know is that ETF Options are always American Style. American Style options can be excercised anytime before expiry. You can even trade LEAP Options on ETFs. LEAP Options are long term options having expiry of more than nine months to less than two and a half years.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Read this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading FREE Report. Get this 40 page shocking FRWC Brutal Truth FREE Report that exposed everything about trading robots!

What’s The Best Time To Start Investing?

February 9th, 2010 Cara Gerone No comments

Would-be investors who are ignorant about stocks may look online for information about the stock market. Because they feel like they’re in over their heads, they look for basic principles with searches such as “stocks for beginners.” The fortunate thing for these beginners is that they probably have never invested in the stock market and didn’t lose any money in it during the recent crash. Veteran investors who had money in stocks have probably lost much of it due to current market conditions, and are not feeling so well financially.

You should learn from this horrendous market correction that nothing is safe in the stock market. Some people have lost way more than they should have because they were over confident and had too much of their money in stocks. Additionally, many lost because they had too much in one particular stock or one particular sector.

Also take your age into consideration when deciding how much to invest. You should not invest money that might be needed soon, since it could be lost. Elderly people are more apt to need money quickly for health care or other unforeseen circumstances and for retirement. Investing most of their money is therefore especially risky for them.

Make sure to buy a bunch of different stocks as you start investing in them. Stock diversification is the name of the game, and it minimizes the risk you have of losing all your money. Buying stocks in varying businesses and industries can lessen the blow if one company goes under; this way, you still have the stock in the remaining industries. Keep in mind, however, that you might not think diversification is a good idea right now, since every stock is down to drastic levels.

Compared to two years ago, the stock market is in a fairly bad place right now. People have lost their retirements and seed money, billions of dollars. Even though the market is heading in an upward direction right now, people lack the funds to put things back into the market and recover from what they lost. What’s more, some people are just too afraid of the market going down again to risk the money they could make through the current rise in stocks.

You can learn a lot more on how to buy stocks for beginners at my website.

Investing Made Smart With Today’s Hot Stocks

January 22nd, 2010 Danny Denelo No comments

Any investor is aware that investing is a little like gambling. There are no guarantees that your investments will produce the returns you expect. Hot stocks can be an especially risky market. That’s why, when I came across Today’s Hot Stocks while I was doing some market research I doubted that it would work the way they claimed.

There are so many variables involved with hot stocks trading, I didn’t see how a software program could accurately take everything into account. I never believe everything I read anyway. There are a lot of scammers ready to take your money and run. Given that the newsletter wasn’t expensive, I decided to try out the newsletter for two months.

I signed up for the Today’s Hot Stocks newsletter six months ago and I haven’t looked back. The program doe everything it says it will do and I have been making a great return on my hot stocks. Sure, I’ve had occasional losers, but not as many as I had before trying this newsletter. The returns on the winners have been better than most of my own picks.

I’m still not putting all my eggs in one basket, the best way to protect your money is to invest it with diversity in mind. I have to admit, though, that I’m really impressed at the returns I’m getting on hot stocks. Today’s Hot Stocks news letter has made a believer out of me. I’ve done some trend following and I know how that software works, but my returns haven’t been as reliable as with hot stocks.

I usually use different sources to research my investments and most of those sources are free. I was a little reluctant to pay for a newsletter, but I am glad I decided to pay attention to my friend, even though I thought he was crazy.

I admit that I like the money back guarantee. Today’s Hot Stocks allows you to try the newsletter and email alerts for up to sixty days, and if you aren’t happy they will give you a full refund. I thought I’d be getting that refund, but I am more than satisfied with my results and I’m happy to keep paying for their advice. I wouldn’t even be in this great market if it wasn’t for Today’s Hot Stocks, and of course, my friend.

Sure you can get free advice on hot stocks, but you usually get what you pay for. Free advice isn’t necessarily good advice. The software used by hot stocks is remarkably accurate. OK, the market doesn’t always behave predictably and sometimes you may suffer a loss, but the program does help to minimize your losses and takes your emotions out of the equation.

I’m still a pretty conservative investor, but I’m glad i added hot stocks to my strategy. The 37% return I’ve made over the las three months is impressive and I plan to keep trading in this market for the foreseeable future. Even if you’re conservative like me, I suggest you try Today’s Hot Stocks newsletter and discover a new, lucrative investment strategy.

Find more on best stocks today and hot stocks.

Fundamentals of Successful Equity Trading

January 12th, 2010 Christopher Fitch No comments

Now that the economic data coming out in the press is starting to look brighter with each and every day, a lot of people may feel that now is the right time to start investing in equities. Trading successfully is never easy, but following these basics can certainly help.

1. What is the Price-to-Earnings Ratio for the security in question? Finding out what the PE ratio for a security is allows investors to determine how much revenue each dollar they invest generates for the company. Obviously, the lower the PE ratio, the cheaper the stock price. This ratio can be used to determine how expensive a stock price is relative to comparable securities.

2. What is the Debt-to-Equity ratio? The debt-to-equity ratio tells investors how much debt the company holds for every dollar in equity. The higher the debt-to-equity ratio, the more debt the company has, and this can be problematic. Understanding where comparable securities stands with their debt-to-equity ratio can help investors determine whether their security is better positioned to survive leaner times than its competitors.

3. Know what Analysts say about the security. Most publicly traded securities will be reviewed and rated by companies that trade in that security. Recommendations in the form of a Buy, Hold, or Sell recommendation are often made. Understanding what professional analysts think about the security can help confirm or refute an investor’s independent research on a security.

While the above three tips are nothing close to being exhaustive, they do provide equity investors with a starting point when evaluating potential trades.

For investors who would rather not deal with the research aspect of investing, mutual funds provide a great alternative as the research and effort is done by the fund company.

Find out more about Bond Funds as well as Investment Strategy at the MutualFundSite.org.

Green Energy Stocks

December 7th, 2009 Ahmad Hassam No comments

Do you know China is the largest producer of coal? Coal production n China would peak somewhere around 2010-2020. Are you aware of the fact that the peak of the global oil production (all liquids, including unconventional oil) will peak in the next few years.

The global peak of uranium production lies somewhere around2025-2050. The global peak of natural gas production lies somewhere around 2025! You must be thinking what to do every available source of energy seems to be peaking in the near future?

Do you know this fact that the US Department of Energy has estimated that there is enough available offshore wind energy of the coasts of US that can nearly cover the current US electricity capacity? So what will fill this void in energy production in the coming decades?

If all the care in US were hybrids by 2025 that would roughly reduce 80% of the US oil import. IF every bulb in the US was replaced with an energy efficient fluorescent lamp, enough energy could be saved to shut down around 100 power plants.

Enough power could be generated for the entire US by covering only 9% of Nevada desert with parabolic trough systems. This is something like a plot of land 100 by 100 miles. So the solution is already there and as the end of fossil fuel nears which is only a decade away, more and more alternative energy solutions will be used to generate cheap energy.

You might have seen only a glimpse of that last year in 2008 when crude oil prices jumped to around $150 per barrel. This is something that is bound to happen. The supplies of fossil fuel are finite and will be exhausted in the near future. When the oil price reached above $100, plans got rolling for massive investment in the alternative energy sector. With the oil price coming down, these plans have been shelved but will be rerolled again when the oil price again starts to sky rocket.

This prediction is based on our insatiable energy consumption and the lack of conventional supplies to meet the growing energy demand. This is most probably the safest long term bet that you can make in the long term. There is little doubt that companies operating in the green energy sector will ultimately become the major players in the overall energy generation and transportation mix of tomorrow.

Keeping in view the above facts, investing in green energy stocks in the best long term investment that you can make! Imagine Henry Ford in 1909 asking you to invest in his Ford Motor Company that is about to mass produce a horseless carriage.

But many folks in that year of 1909 were skeptical about Model T success. This is now 2009, exactly a century has passed. Do you think investing in green energy stocks is a bad idea? He tells you that this invention could change the entire landscape of the country. Knowing everything that you know right now with the power of hind sight with you, you will definitely say yes.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try these cash printing Forex Signals from heaven. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot System!

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Index Options (Part I)

December 6th, 2009 Ahmad Hassam No comments

The options market has caught the fancy of many investors and this is not surprising. The beauty of options is embedded in its very name. You have the options but not the obligation to buy or sell stocks at a given price by a given time. Now for options buyers this option unlike futures limits their maximum liability to the option premium they had paid at the time of buying the options contract.

You must have come across the term Index Options. So what are index options? In’78, Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) began options trading on popular stock indexes such as the S&P 500 Stock Index. The CBOE options trades in multiples of $100 per index point. This is much cheaper than the $250 multiple per index point for the S&P futures contract.

So how do the index options work? Let’s take an example. Suppose the S&P 500 Index is at 1100 points. You have a bullish opinion of the market and are of the opinion that the S&P 500 Index will go further up. An index option allows the investor to buy the stock index at a set point within the given time period. Options premiums is one of the most important concept that you need to grasp before you actually start trading options.

So you decide to purchase a call option at 1150 for three months for 50 points. In other words you paid an option premium of $5000. Now what this means is that if any time for the next three months you decide to exercise your call option, you will get $100 for each point the index is above 1150.

In that case you will only lose the premium of $5000 that you had paid to buy the call index option. Now, 1150 is the strike price of the index option. In case the S&P 500 Index does not rise above 1150, you can simply decide to not exercise your call option.

Contrast this with S&P futures. In case of S&P futures, the downside risk is unlimited whereas in index options the downside risk is limited to only the premium that you had paid for the options contract. Call options are considered to be bullish. So for you to make a profit with this call option, the S&P 500 Index will have to rise above 1200 point within the next three months otherwise you will lose your premium.

A Put Index Option works in exactly the same way as a Call Index Option except that you make profit when the stock index goes down. If you had bought the put index options instead of the call index option in our example above, every point below the strike price of 1150 would have given you a profit of $100. In case the S&P Index had fallen to 1100 point, you would have recouped your options premium. Put options are considered to be bearish.

But the most important factor is the expected volatility of the market. Now the option premium that you pay is determined by the market and it depends on many factors like interest rates and dividend yield.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try these cash printing Forex Signals from heaven. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot System!

Index Options Trading (Part II)

December 6th, 2009 Ahmad Hassam No comments

Index options premium all depends on the volatility of the market. The duller the market, the lower the index options premium. Well it depends on the expectations of the traders whether the market will move sufficiently in the near future for them to exercise their buy or sell rights. The more volatile the market, the higher then index option premium! Infact there are many factors that can affect the options premium like theta Vega, gamma. Now what are these terms and from where they have cropped up? These terms are known as the options Greeks. Before you start trading options, you need to learn what these terms means.

Options are a far more basic instrument than the ETFs and futures. You can easily replicate any ETF or futures contract with an option but the reverse is not true. Options offer investors far more trading strategies as compared to futures. Such strategies can range from highly speculative to highly conservative. Suppose, you are afraid that the market is going to go down in the near future! You can protect yourself from this decline in the market by buying a out index option. When the market declines, the put increases in value. In case, the market does not decline, you only lose the premium that you had paid for the put option.

So as said before, options can help you profit from a bullish market as well as from a bearish market. It all depends on how well you anticipate the mood of the market and devise your options trading strategy. In case, the market does not decline, you only lose the premium that you had paid for the put option. Suppose, you are afraid that the market is going to go down in the near future! You can protect yourself from this decline in the market by buying a out index option. When the market declines, the put increases in value.

There are always two parties to a trade. In case of options, one is the options buyer and the other is the options seller. Options trading are a zero sum game. Either the options buyer wins or the seller wins. Both can’t. Now the seller of a call options believes that the market will not move sufficiently up in the near future so he/she can make money by writing a call options contract and selling it to someone who believes the maker will move up. Of course for anyone who buys an options contract there should be someone to sell the options contract to make a complete transaction.

But with stock index futures and options, investors were able to buy in some way the whole market such as represented by these stock indexes. Heavily capitalized firms in the major stock indexes like the S&P 500 or the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) have always attracted money because of their outstanding liquidity.

The Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) gave the investor still more ways to diversify across all market with very low costs. ETFs give you the familiarity of the stocks but like index futures much higher liquidity and superior tax efficiency.

Index options give the investors the ability to insure the value of their portfolios at the lowest possible prices and save on the transaction costs and taxes.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try these cash printing Forex Signals from heaven. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot System!

Commodities ETF

December 1st, 2009 Ahmad Hassam No comments

Commodity investing may become the hottest investment in the first decades of the 21st century. Right now gold prices have broken the $1000 per ounce barrier for the first time in history. It is predicted that this upward trend in gold prices will continue for the foreseeable future. Oil prices have also started reaching $80 per barrel and it is expected that oil price will soon be above the $100 per barrel mark. It may eventually reach the $200 per barrel barrier. If you are interested in investing in commodities than you can invest in a commodity mutual fund! Many people are not aware that commodities as an asset class has a lot of potential especially in the 21st century. It is being predicted that the 21st century belongs to the commodities.

Just buy the shares of the commodity mutual fund and let its NAV appreciate before you can sell for a capital gain. This is the simplest way for you to get involved in investing in commodities as the mutual fund portfolio management will be done by a professional manager and you have to do nothing.

There is another investment vehicle that is really hot right now with the public. ETFs started off some three decades back but became highly popular as investment vehicles in such a short time. Now, you must have heard about the Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). ETFs are really hot investments these days. There are a number of ETFs that invest in commodities.

Driven by the growing demand of commodities by the investors many financial institutions are now offering Commodity ETFs. Now the good thing about investing in ETFs is that they give you the diversification benefits of a mutual fund with very low fees something like 0.7% as compared to 2-4% of the mutual fund.

So how about investing in commodity ETFs? Unlike a mutual fund whose net asset value is calculated at the end of the day and the shares of mutual fund cannot be traded during the day, you can go both long or short on ETFs all the time. Something you cannot do with a mutual fund! ETFs have the added benefit of being able to trade like stocks giving you the powerful combination of diversification and liquidity. Trade your ETF shares just like you trade your stock shares. Anytime go long or short!

This diversification plus liquidity benefit makes an ETF a better investment tool as compared to the mutual fund and the stocks. Now, you can find thousands of ETFs in the market on different market sectors, stock indexes, currencies, commodities and so on.

Let’s take an example of a commodity ETF. The Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking Fund is listed on AMEX and tracks the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index. This index is based on a basket of six commodities: light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gold, aluminum, corn and wheat. The first Commodity ETF in US was launched by Deutsche Bank in the start of 2006. This ETF is based on the Deutsche Bank Commodity Index and as you can judge

This ETF invests directly in the commodity futures contract. Now one of the downsides of investing in this Commodity ETFs is that it can be fairly volatile as it is based on commodity futures contracts that get rolled monthly. Another downside to this Commodity ETF is that it is based on a basket of six commodities only. Now, every month a new ETF gets launched. There are a number of Commodity ETFs that track individual commodities like crude oil, gold and silver. Do your research on Commodity ETFs, you may find a good investment.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Trade Dow Futures . Learn Commodity Trading !